Races on Saturday Nov. 5th, 2016@ Santa Anita
By Jay Cats
Race 4 – BC Juvenile Fillies (1 1/16 Miles)
Yellow Agate. She will be stretching out to a mile and sixteenth after an impressive win at Belmont Park in the G1 Frizette. Watch for her to be following the leaders in the stretch and close fast.
Sweet Loretta. She is three for three this year despite her bad breaking from the gate. If trainer Todd Pletcher has this filly prepped for her first two turn race she may well win.
Union Strike. Big win down the road at the G1 Del Mar Debutante on September 3rd even after the rider lost the whip. Not sure why the owners went to a new trainer but jockey Martin Garcia will know what to do.
Race 5 – BC Fillies and Mare Turf (1 1/4 miles)
Seventh Heaven (Ire). Traveling in from overseas this filly will not be surprising anyone if she wins. A big positive for me was that she beat Found (BC Turf winner last year and who also won the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe this year) on August 13th.
Avenge. She is on a three race winning streak with her last one being the G1 Rodeo Drive at Santa Anita. This will be her biggest test to date.
Lady Eli. The class of the field. For trainer Chad Brown to have her back and winning after her long laminitis fight is extraordinary. This filly is a fighter and should win.
Race 6 – BC Sprint (6 furlongs)
Drefong. Winner of his last four starts this colt will be near the lead the whole race. Only downside is jockey change to Martin Garcia due to jockey Mike Smith who is opting to ride Masochistic. A.P. Indian. Five out of seven wins at this distance. Six out of last seven races his Beyer numbers over 100. Jockey Joe Bravo will get everything out of this horse.
Masochistic. Actually wasn’t in my top three but since Lord Nelson was scratched I’ll add him to the mix. This is not his distance (5, 1-1-0) but off of his last two starts he could easily win.
Race 7 – BC Turf Sprint (6 1/2 furlongs)
Pure Sensation. Three wins in four starts this year with two being G3. He will need to save ground and hope for a slow pace but has a chance.
Obviously (Ire). He has the speed and I think the jockey change to Flavien Plat may help his chances. One thing for sure is that he will give it his all.
Om. Actually has not won this year but going a shorter distance this time may be just what is needed to get him his first win this year. He’s been in the money nine of ten times on the turf which has to stand for something.
Race 8 – BC Juvenile (1 1/16 miles)
Syndergaard. Lost by a nose in G1 Champaign at Belmont Park on October 8th after a fast pace. If he can avoid lugging out in the stretch he could surprise.
Empire Classic. This would be the horse to key in this race. He would be four for four if he didn’t dump his rider two starts ago at Saratoga in the G1 Hopeful.
Three Rules. This horse has won all five of his lifetime starts. While none of them are graded stakes wins he still deserves a lot of respect. This will be his first start out of Gulfstream Park and against a lot better company.
Race 9 – BC Turf (1 1/2 miles)
Flintshire (GB). Other than a yielding turf in his last start where he finished 2nd this horse is a serious threat to beat the new horses shipping in from overseas since he has been running in the U.S. since June.
Found. One of my favorite horses from overseas. He won the BC Turf last year at Keeneland and now he’s come back to the U.S. to win it again. He will be there at the end in a duel with Flintshire.
Race 10 – BC Fillies and Mares Sprint (7 furlongs)
Haveyougoneaway. Her last win in the G1 Ballerina at Saratoga beating a bunch of her rivals in this race was huge. She has won five of seven starts this year and is still improving.
Carina Mia. Coming in 2nd to Songbird in two of her last three starts is not a negative. She will be in the money, it’s just a matter of where.
Race 11 – BC Turf Mile
Alice Springs (Ire). Coming off two G1 wins in Europe this filly will have another try in the U.S. after losing the BC Juvenile Turf for Fillies last year.
Tenpin. This mare is the class of the field. She even traveled to Great Britain and won the G1 Queen Anne Stakes in June. Don’t let her 2nd place in her last start fool you. Trainer, Mark Casse, has her primed and ready to go.
Race 12 – BC Classic (1 1/4 miles)
California Chrome. No rivals. He will win.
Melatonin. Hasn’t raced since June but won three of four starts with two being G1. He is four for four at Santa Anita and two for two at the distance but will still be vying for 2nd.
Arrogate. Monster win in the Travers Stakes winning by 13 ½ lengths and breaking the track record. There will be a lot of money on this colt and we will find out if the hype is for real.
Long Shot Plays:
Race 5 – Catch a Glimpse, Al’s Gal
Race 6 – Noholdingback Bear
Race 7 – Calgary Cat
Race 8 – Theory
Race 9 – Ashleyluvssugar, Mondialiste (Ire)
Race 10 – By the Moon, Irish Jasper
Race 11 – Ring Weekend, Midnight Storm